Kwara Stakeholders Demand Legislative Probe into Failed NiMet 2025 Weather Forecast

Date: 2025-09-15

Stakeholders in Kwara State have called on both the National Assembly and the Kwara State House of Assembly to investigate the Nigerian Meteorological Agency's (NiMet) failed 2025 seasonal weather forecast, which led to widespread agricultural losses across the state and neighbouring regions.

The demand was made during a civic forum organised by the pro-democracy and advocacy group, Kwara Must Change (KMC), in Ilorin.

Mr. Kamaldeen Babasiga, speaking at the event, stated that the Kwara State Assembly has a constitutional responsibility to hold agencies accountable and must demand explanations from relevant authorities.

He urged lawmakers to summon officials from the Kwara State Ministry of Agriculture and the Ilorin office of NiMet to explain how the inaccurate climate projections on which thousands of farmers based their planting decisions were formulated and approved.

The 2025 Seasonal Climate Prediction had forecast near-normal rainfall starting in early May, but instead, the region experienced a prolonged dry spell during the peak growing season, resulting in massive crop failure and financial ruin for many rural households.

Stakeholders insist that a formal legislative inquiry is necessary to prevent future recurrence and ensure transparency in meteorological advisories.

"While NiMet is a federal agency, it maintains a station here in Ilorin. The Kwara State House of Assembly should not remain silent; it should invite them to explain why such a disastrous forecast was issued," he said.

Mr Babasiga also called on the National Assembly to conduct a broader probe into NiMet's processes to ensure that such a disastrous failure does not reoccur.

Supporting this position, Dr Ibrahim Kuranga stressed that the failed projection cannot be dismissed as a natural error.

According to him, an agency that claims 85 per cent accuracy cannot afford to miss a major three-month drought during what was predicted to be the peak of the rainy season.

"This is not a matter of chance. It shows something is fundamentally wrong somewhere. NiMet must take responsibility and use this as an opportunity to improve its system," Dr Kuranga argued.

Also, Alfa Abdulateef Asileke called on government to provide urgent relief to victims of the agricultural disaster, warning that leaving such a tragedy unattended would deepen the suffering of farmers and their families.

KMC emphasised that accountability is necessary not only to address immediate losses but also to rebuild public trust in NiMet's forecasts, which farmers across Nigeria rely on to make critical decisions.

 

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